Planning for financial independence
The problem
A 4% rule spreadsheet gives you a single number. It does not account for Norwegian fortune tax, capital-gains tax on fund sales, bracket-tax effects on pension income, or the fact that your house, cabin and car are not part of the sell-down.
How Wealth Prognosis handles it
- Configure birth year, wished retirement year, official pension year and expected death year.
- Add every asset with realistic change rates — equity funds, ASK, pension, bank, property.
- Mark liquid vs. non-liquid. The engine liquidates liquid assets evenly from retirement to death.
- Run the three-scenario simulation. See whether the pessimistic scenario still clears expenses.
- Ask the AI: "hvor mye må jeg spare i aksjefondet per måned for å kunne gå av ved 55?"
Outcome
A year-by-year view of net worth, cash flow, tax and FIRE progress under three market regimes — not just a single optimistic headline number.